FOOD & BEVERAGE M&A MARKET DYNAMICS
Deal activity in the Food & Beverage sector continues to gain momentum as rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are expected to enable an improved cost of capital dynamic, supporting an increase in deal flow through better alignment of value expectations between buyers and sellers.
Third quarter M&A activity in the sector highlights growing optimism in the market, with Global and U.S. M&A transaction volume increasing 14.9% and 8.0%, respectively from the previous years’ quarter.
What We’re Discussing With Clients
Optimistic Outlook for Credit Markets
The recent series of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, including 50 basis points in September, 25 basis points in November, and a potential additional cut in December, are creating a favorable environment for acquirers in the M&A market. Lower borrowing costs, coupled with the expectation of further rate reductions, should ease financing for transactions and boost deal-making activity.
Valuation and Market Multiples
In Q3-24, M&A valuations and market multiples saw a notable increase driven by lower interest rates that reduced the cost of debt, providing buyers using leverage with additional purchasing power. In addition to the cheaper financing, increased competition among acquisitive strategic buyers is fueling healthy valuations, particularly for premium assets with strong performance. This combination of favorable financing conditions and heightened demand is expected to continue supporting robust M&A activity and valuations moving forward.
Post Election Clarity
With the 2024 U.S. election season in the rearview mirror, both buyers and sellers stand to benefit from increased clarity as it relates to tax and regulatory conditions going forward. From a F&B M&A perspective, key themes to monitor into 2025 include reduced FTC scrutiny of strategic acquisitions, potential tariff increases on international products, and changes in food health standards via the Department of Agriculture and / or the Department of Health and Human Services.
